- 'Is your pension fund a dump for toxic waste?' asks Paul Tustain, in the best single article I've seen on this most important of all financial issues.
Do click on that article. Great reading for the weekend.
Do click on that article. Great reading for the weekend.
4. Company dabbles in the share market. The current fiscal profit of 8.325 mil is boosted by disposal of securities, which saw Analabs gaining 1.837 mil from its disposal of shares this fiscal year. Some folks hate such share dabbling!
Currently, as stated in the earnings notes, "The investment of RM5.096 million in the condensed consolidated Balance Sheet for the current quarter has been reclassified as non-current assets". The market value of these shares is now worth rm6.094 million.
5. Cash balance is extremely healthy, so is the cash flow. Net cash is now 35.197 mil.
Decent improvement in payout since fy 2005 but pale in comparison since fy 2002.
Now company has tons of cash, hence it is argued that it should have done much better in sharing its wealth back with its shareholders.
How?
A cash distribution of RM1.50 per share when the stock was trading only in the 90 sen region.
This clearly drove the price UP.
So now that Tamco has said that it was unable to comment on whether a cash distribution of RM1.50 per share will be undertaken, do you reckon that the reporter should be questioned who the source was?
Yes, my dearest reporter(s), please tell us who your informer(s) are! Just who are your sources of constant misleading information?
Don't you want to see integrity in our financial news?
Now, this Tamco story was published on the Edge Weekly. The denial was posted on Bursa Website. So for the common news reader, if such constant denials were to continue to happen, then how would these news reader know if what they are reading is true or false?
Don't you think it's extremely ludicrous to ask the readers to refer to Bursa website to confirm the news that they had read is true or false?
If this is the case, then I strongly suggest each FINANCIAL NEWS display a huge disclaimer informing their readers that what they read could be false!
Or PLEASE REFER TO BURSA WEBSITE TO CONFIRM THE NEWS THAT YOU HAD JUST READ IS TRUE OR FALSE?
Simply ludicrous, isn't it?
The article suggested the following.
The sources strikes once more!
Now get this, if the reader of this financial news article had no idea how to surf the Bursa Website, how would the reader knows the story is misleading?
This is what Tamco said in its announcement on Bursa.
Ahem!
Would you call the financial news as misleading?
Now consider that cash distribution of RM1.50 per share thingee.
Tamco was a share trading around 0.90 sen!
So when the financial news suggests such a massive cash distribution, surely this would have been one heck of a sexy story!
Well have a look at the current stock trading data for Tamco.
Do note how the stock jumped to life a day before the publication was published and note how the stock gained handsomely the day of the publication!
Great article for a lazy Sunday reading: The Retreat of Complacency
That's a rather misleading statement.
Here is the link to that B.Puri's earnings notes as at-end-march (reported on May 2007). http://announcements.bursamalaysia.com/EDMS/annweb.nsf/8b25383a269fcce548256d79001af770/482568ad00295d07482572e9003141f9/$FILE/BPHB-1st%20Qtr%202007.pdf1. "As at end-March this year, the company had as much as RM18.1mil in cash"
Well, B.Puri has 18 mil more in FD that the article failed to mention. Total cash is 36.386 million.But if i were to account the corrected one, total cash should be 36.386 milllion, whereas total debts should be 386.034 million. Which means that B.Puri is a company with a nett debt of 349.648 million!
Wow!Makes a whole lot of difference, yes?
So, do you think that such business news reporting is misleading?
And what chance does the normal investing public has when our business news are constantly filled with misleading information?What if the normal investing public does not know how to check from the Bursa website?
Don't you think the investing public, the minority shareholders will lose out in the long run when our local financial journalist continues to publish misleading articles?The reporter then paints the exciting prospect, the links between B.Puri and tycoon Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Albukhary and with it the link to MMC Corp and the link to Saudi Bin Laden Group!
And then what amazes me is the last two paragraph.
The issue for me is that the reporter highlights TA Securities forecast of 11 million.
Firstly, it's great to see the reporter GOING GREAT LENGTHS and research what's been said and mentioned by research houses.However, it would be nice if the reporter highlighted Kenanga Research forecast too, right?
Why highlight one without highlighting the other?So I dig around. Kenanga Research can be found on Bursa website. http://eresearch.bursamalaysia.com/download.aspx?id=5719&type=research
This is what I found.
Cheap money is a huge issue isn't it?
Regarding the subprime woes, here is an excellent blog posting posted on The Big Picture. How Might Subprime Issues Unravel?.
And FSO Market commentator, Brian Pretti gives an excellent write on The "State" of Affairs in Mortgage Lending.
And over at Comstock, The Tip of the Iceberg?
The damage estimates
And how the rise in interest rates would hurt them. $2 TRILLION of mortgage securities which could be adjusted to higher rates!
And here is the possible danger.
Posted on Bloomberg News. Bear Stearns Fund Collapse Sends Shock Through CDOs
Key note for me is 3-year CAGR of 40%.
This means that HDBS is really assuming and expecting an amazing growth for BCT. Have a look at HDBS earnings table posted below.
So, BCT which earned 10.5 million for its last fiscal year ( its current earnings for 3 quarters is 9.896 million) is expected to earn 25.8 million by FY 2008.
My opinion? Strange. Cos how could "BCTT’s FY07 and FY08 net profit growth of 45.9% and 38.6% y-y remain respectable" when this is but just a projection. Doesn't BCT has to achieve these targets before being getting its respects?
Anyway, here is KN's earnings table projection for BCT.
KN's net earnings projection for BCT's FY 2008 is 20.9 million. Which is much lower than HDBS projection of 28.9 million!
So for me, it appears to me, that the high target prices are assigned to BCT because both HDBS and KN expects fantastic growth for BCT.
Is this achievable?
For me, this is one of the issue I would address. However, as it is, there isn't much data available but 3 quarterly earnings data from BCT.
rgds
July 1 2006. BCT to make analogue and mixed-signal chips.
July 11 2006. Business Times
July 22 2006, Business Times
Jan 13, 2007. BCT Tech is set to meet its ambitious growth target
26/2/2007. BCT announced its Q4 earnings. Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 31/12/2006
BCT did 10.531 million. This is what the company said in its notes.
14/5/07. Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 31/3/2007
This is what BCT has achieved since listing.
Margin improved but sales revenue was down a lot.
This is what the company said in its notes.
Issue to watch. Dilutions of earnings and note KN.
2nd April 2007, HDBS iniates coverage.
Jun 8th, 2007, from HDBS
Jun 11th, 2007, from KN
Too little info for me to comment more.
rgds
So what about misleading news publications?
What if a reporter continues to publish misleading articles based on unconfirmed sources, time after time again?
This morning, Star Business reporter, Jose Barrock, reported the following, According to Sources: Ranhill Strikes Oil!!!!!!!!
By lunch time, the stock flew up, up and away, rising a whopping 54 sen or 29% just because of that "according to sources" article published this morning!
However, before the market re-opened for the afternoon session, Ranhill made the following announcement, which was reported by Bloomberg.
The stock retreated instantly before it was suspended at 2.18, up 37sen, surrendering 17 sen of its gains!
Now this simply left a terrible taste for most market players, investors, traders and punters.
First it was false accounting, now it is false reporting!
What fighting chance does the market player has against such odds?
Here are some comments posted.
But the most incredible thing is this statement.
Lankhorst denied and stated that they did NOT own that 14,000 hectares of land stated by the reported.
So where did the reporter get the info from? Who is the source?
2. Feb 14th 2004.
Here is Fountain View reply. ARTICLE ENTITLED : "Fountain View in talks to buy Kurnia Setia Stake"
3. Feb 12 2005.
What was wrong?
1. Tradewinds first 3 quarters net profit only totals 54.2 million. So this source is suggesting that Tradewinds makes a whopping net profit of 100 million for its current fiscal year. Which means Tradewinds will make a whopping 45.8 million (100 -54.2 ) for the last quarter of the year. And how did Tradewinds do? Some 11 days later, Tradewind reported a loss for its remaining quarter of its fiscal year and only ended its fiscal year making some 52.504 million.
2. Debts only 1.2 billion? Badly twisted! Traewinds had a total debts of 1.894 Billion!
Now consider the impact on the stock.
Well Jose Barrock wrote that article on Saturday, Feb 12th 2004. Before that incredible according to sources article was written, TWSCorp (Tradewinds) was a stock trading around the 77 sen and many thanks to the article, TWSCorp went up some 4.8% on Feb 14th. Now after TWScorp hitting a 52-week high on the next trading day, Feb 14th 2005, 8 trading days later, on Feb 24th, TWSCorp closed at 63 sen!!!
4. November 19, 2005
Terribly misleading! Salcon EPS at that time was only a mere 3 sen and not 30 sen!
5. 21 Jan 2006. Courting AV Ventures
Massive rumours! An offer of 1.20 for AV Ventures was simply sexy because AV Ventures was just trading at 66 sen then!
Here is AV ventures reply yo Bursa. AV VENTURES CORPORATION BERHAD ("the Company" or "AV Ventures") ARTICLE ENTITLED "COURTING AV VENTURES"
How? 3 strikes in one article?
Some more recent stuff.
6. December 2, 2006 ( TM eyes Time dotCom )
Here is the reply.
7. Dec 9 2006. Dialog Group to list unit in Singapore Stock Exchange
Dialog's denial.
Fast forward.. too long... more recent stuff.
8. April 21st 2007. ( Syabas shake-up in the pipeline? )
According to sources and misleading info! Reporter highlights the cash balances without stating KPS's loans which totals more than 1.2 billion!
4 days later, KHSB lost 0.165 or some 17% since that article was published.
9. Saturday June 9, 2007 ( Tie-up in the offing? )
MRCB posted these set of comments on Bursa Malaysia.
Equine Capital, on the other hand made the following set of comments.
10. Same day! Saturday June 9, 2007 ( Interest in DNP fuelled by privatisation talks )
Well.. I could go on and on! Really! But I do think this is more than enough!
How?
Do you think that Bursa should take action against such misleading reporting?
How?
Ranhill was up a whopping 54 sen or 29% just because of that "according to sources" article published this morning!!!!
If Ranhill tanks later, how?
Now tell me, what do you think of that news article published this morning?
Should SC investigate the reporter and his sources?
How about publishing who these sources are?
Now Ranhill is now UP a whopping 28 sen because of this news based according to sources!
So if this news is DENIED by Ranhill, then how?
Another thing, why is our news reporter reporting before Ranhill Bhd?
If this story is admitted by Ranhill, then we need to address who are these sources leaking this news to the newspaper.
And also if these sources is able to obtain such stock market price sensitive information, then shouldn't we address the issue of what if certain parties had obtained these info and profited from them? Doesn't this constitute insider trading?
How?