Showing posts with label Bear Stearns. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bear Stearns. Show all posts

Monday, March 17, 2008

Why some are against this great Bear Bailout!

Here's a great article opposing the Bear bailout! Rescue Me: A Fed Bailout Crosses a Line


  • But why save Bear Stearns? The beneficiary of this bailout, remember, has often operated in the gray areas of Wall Street and with an aggressive, brass-knuckles approach. Until regulators came along in 1996, Bear Stearns was happy to provide its balance sheet and imprimatur to bucket-shop brokerages like Stratton Oakmont and A. R. Baron, clearing dubious stock trades.

    And as one of the biggest players in the mortgage securities business on Wall Street, Bear provided munificent lines of credit to public-spirited subprime lenders like New Century (now bankrupt). It is also the owner of EMC Mortgage Servicing, one of the most aggressive subprime mortgage servicers out there.

    Bear’s default rates on so-called Alt-A mortgages that it underwrote also indicates that its lending practices were especially lax during the real estate boom. As of February, according to Bloomberg data, 15 percent of these loans in its underwritten securities were delinquent by more than 60 days or in foreclosure. That compares with an industry average of 8.4 percent.

    Let’s not forget that Bear Stearns lost billions for its clients last summer, when two hedge funds investing heavily in mortgage securities collapsed. And the firm tried to dump toxic mortgage securities it held in its own vaults onto the public last summer in an initial public offering of a financial company called Everquest Financial. Thankfully, that deal never got done.

    Recall, too, that back in 1998, when the Long Term Capital Management hedge fund required a Fed-arranged bailout, Bear Stearns refused to join the rescue effort. Jimmy Cayne, then chief executive at the firm, told the Fed to take a hike.

    And so, Bear Stearns, a firm that some say is this decade’s version of Drexel Burnham Lambert, the anything-goes, 1980s junk-bond shop dominated by Michael Milken, is rescued. Almost two decades ago, Drexel was left to die.

    Bear Stearns and Drexel have a lot in common. And yet their differing outcomes offer proof that we are in a very different and scarier place than in the late 1980s.

    “Why not set an example of Bear Stearns, the guys who have this record of dog-eat-dog, we’re brass knuckles, we’re tough?” asked William A. Fleckenstein, president of Fleckenstein Capital in Issaquah, Wash., and co-author with Fred Sheehan of “Greenspan’s Bubbles: The Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve.” “This is the perfect time to set an example, but they are not interested in setting an example. We are Bailout Nation.

And what's most interesting was the integrity issue on how the events unfolded. As mentioned in the same article.

  • Only last Monday, for example, Bear put out a press release saying, “there is absolutely no truth to the rumors of liquidity problems that circulated today in the market.” The next day, Christopher Cox, the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, said he was comfortable that the major Wall Street firms were resting on satisfactory “capital cushions.”

    Three days later, it was bailout time for Bear.
No problems! No truth to the rumours!

Now? On a Sunday evening, Bear Stearns was sold for $2 per share!
( see Some Bear Issues )

Some Bear Issues

Posted on CNBC JP Morgan Agrees to Buy Bear Stearns for $2 a Share


  • JPMorgan Chase said Sunday it will acquire rival Bear Stearns in a deal valued at $236.2 million--or $2 a share--a stunning collapse for one of the world's largest and most venerable investment banks. The last-minute buyout was aimed at averting a Bear Stearns bankruptcy and a spreading crisis of confidence in the global financial system

$2 a share?

Here's an interesting point from Bloomberg news. JPMorgan Chase Buys Bear Stearns for $270 Million

  • Joseph Lewis, the second-largest shareholder in Bear Stearns Cos., wasn't planning to reduce his stake, a person close to him said March 11. Lewis, a 71-year-old billionaire, has put in more than $1 billion into the firm since September, paying as much as $150 for a share.

Mr. Lewis isn't going to be happy camper!

And one of the big issue is on the current bailout of Bear Stearns. One of the interesting comments was from John Mauldin's piece, Muddle Through and Your Long Term Returns , posted on the weekend.

  • The next crisis? I read a very chilling piece from Michael Lewitt this morning. He speculates on what if the rumors were true that Bear Stearns is basically bankrupt. Bear is in the too big to fail category. They are at the heart of the chain of Credit Default Swaps which run like fault lines throughout the world's financial system. If Bear were allowed to collapse, it would simply cascade throughout the world so fast it would truly make the current level of the credit crisis seem small potatoes.

    So, why can I be so sanguine? Because the regulators (the Fed and the SEC) would step in and whatever large bank was failing would be merged or bought very fast. Liquidity and assets would be provided. The Fed and the rest of the world's central banks get that we are in a crisis. They will do what is necessary. Those of us sitting in the cheap seats in the back of the plane may not like it, as it will look like a bailout of the big guys who caused the problem, but you have to maintain the integrity of the system. A hedge fund here or there can go, but not one of the world's premier banks.

And of course the most interesting piece was Who Traded 55,000 Bear $30 Puts Tuesday?

  • This past Tuesday, when Bear Stearns(BSC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) was trading around $65 a share, there was huge put volume in the March $30 strike. Over 55,000 contracts traded that day at an average price of 15 cents a contract. This is an extremely unusual trade in terms of the number of contracts and how far out-of-the money those options were at the time. This begs the question of why someone would execute such a transaction.

!!!!

  • First, it's important to understand that buying a put gives you the right to sell the stock at the strike price. So to buy a put that requires the stock to decline over 50% is essentially a bet that the company is possibly on the brink of going out of business or about to deliver some terrible news.

    Remember, these options expire on March 20, so that left only 10 days for some event to occur that would cause these puts to go into the money and have some value. So it appears that as rumors began swirling early in the week that Bear was having liquidity problems and might possibly be bordering on insolvent, someone took that to heart and bought the puts as disaster insurance. And today came news that several banks, including Goldman Sachs (GS - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), would no longer act as a counterparty to any transactions with Bear. The inability to execute trades would essentially put Bear Stearns out of business.

Incredible!

Yes, some trader just made insane money (easily over 20 million!)... but comeon... surely they 'knew'!!!!!

Btw where is Auntie Martha?

Monday, October 22, 2007

Buffett Interview: PetroChina, Bear Stearns and USD.

Published on Bloomberg ( here )

On PetroChina


  • PetroChina Stake

    Buffett's decision to sell PetroChina was ``100 percent'' based on the share price, he told anchor Liz Claman. Human rights groups have been calling on him to sell the stake.

On Bear Sterns

  • ``That was an incorrect story,'' he said. ``We were not taking a stake. That one had no basis.''

On USD and Brazilian Real

  • Buffett identified the Brazilian real as the unnamed currency he said in May that he owned, noting it has doubled against the U.S. dollar in the past five years.
    ``During much of that time, the Brazilian government has in effect been supporting the U.S. dollar,'' Buffett said. ``They have been buying dollars in the market, they have been building up their own reserves. Their current account has turned into a good surplus,'' while the U.S. is behaving like ``the Brazilians or the Argentinians 10 or 20 years ago.''
    Buffett said he wasn't suggesting anyone buy reais. ``We may be cashing out. This is not a huge position. We'll make $100 million,'' he said.

This other fox link includes the video.

Enjoy!