Showing posts with label Melewar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Melewar. Show all posts

Monday, November 24, 2008

Melewar's Earnings

One of the earnings that caught my attention tonight was Melewar Industrial Group. Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 30/9/2008

It reported sales revenue of 220 million. Losses for the quarter totalled 95.5 million!

I wrote on this stock before back in April 2008:
Melewar Bids for RM2.2 Billion Monorail Project!

It had some 416.449 million in borrowings then when I wrote on it in April 2008.

Now loans is at 533.775 million!

This is the company review of its own earnings performance.

  • The Group recorded a total revenue of RM220.9 million for the 1st quarter ended 30 September 2008, a significant increase of 59% over the preceding year's corresponding quarter of RM138.9 million, on the back of a higher sales volume of steel related products.

    Notwithstanding the increase in total revenue, the Group recorded a loss after tax of RM94.4 million for the quarter under review compared to a profit after tax of RM8.9 million in the preceding year’s corresponding quarter. The decline of RM103.3 million is attributable mainly to the fair value loss suffered on a financial asset of RM137.6 million (net of tax), partly offset by a write back of allowance for shares under litigation of RM30.5 million (net of tax).

    For the current quarter under review, the Company’s principal subsidiary, Mycron Steel Berhad, posted a profit after tax of RM3.2 million, which is RM1.3 million or 68% higher than the RM1.9 million achieved in the corresponding quarter of the preceding year. The better performance attained is principally due to a 70% increase in the total revenue from RM79.8 million to RM136.0 million, contributed mainly by a higher sales volume.

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

More On Melewar's RM2.2Bil MonoRail Bid

I got a copy of OSK's report on the Construction sector.

Here is what they said.


  • Fears Coming True

    Yesterday, it was mentioned on the Business Times and Bloomberg that Malaysian Prime Minister, Ahmad Badawi said that some infrastructure projects under the 9MP may be delayed due to escalating costs. He also commented that on the casualty list is the 2 nd Penang Bridge. Factors in which he cited that had delayed the bridge’s construction include (i) getting the required land, (ii) need to ensure that the given design is most suited and (iii) the issue of escalating costs. According to some sources, the delay would last for about 9 months.

    In other news, it was mentioned on the Financial Daily that proposed bullet train linking Kuala Lumpur and Singapore by YTL Corp has been shelved by the EPU. The reason cited for their decision was because the financial model submitted would involve significant costs to be borne by the government.

    COMMENTS

    From uncertainty to reality. Previously we had highlighted 2 key sector risks associated with the recent political change namely, delay risk and non commencement risk. This recent announcement is testament that the former is becoming an inevitable truth. Rewinding back the clock, the 8MP saw 35% of its projects being carried forward to the 9MP. Rising costs, political risks and poor execution provide us minimal reason to argue why history will not be repeated.

    Other projects also at risk. Based on recent media reports, it can be said that the 2 nd Penang Bridge is one of the few key projects that both political parties have agreed on its necessity. Despite this mutual view, possible delays have already been highlighted. This implies even greater risks for other projects where mutual views are not shared. Various media sources have stated that the initial RM3bn bridge could now cost > RM4bn due to escalating costs. In our view, rising costs could also see an alteration in the bridge’s design (e.g. removing the 2 view decks). We continue to maintain our view that the NCER has the highest political risks amongst the 5 corridors and investors should avoid the NCER play. We think the SCORE provides a safer exposure to Malaysia’s growth corridors.

How?

It makes me wonder about Melewar's rm2.2bil monorail proposal.

Melewar Bids for RM2.2 Billion Monorail Project!

Published on Star Biz on June 7th 2007.

  • Thursday June 7, 2007

    Melewar’s investment in Aussie miner’s shares up seven-fold

    By C.S TAN

    PETALING JAYA: Melewar Industrial Group Bhd’s investment in an iron ore mining company in Western Australia has turned into a “gold mine”.

    The company made an initial investment in Gindalbie Metals Ltd in 2004 and subscribed to more shares last year. Its average cost in Gindalbie is 10 Australian cents a share and the price has surged seven times, or a seven bagger in stock market terminology. Gindalbie closed at 79.5 Australian cents on the Australian Securities Exchange yesterday.

    Gindalbie's price received a boost after the company signed on Monday a share subscription agreement with China’s Anshan Iron & Steel Group Corp (AnSteel), which would subscribe to a 12.9% stake in the Australian firm, Melewar chief operating officer Datuk K. C. Lim told StarBiz yesterday.

    Gindalbie rose from 70 cents on the news early this week. AnSteel is reputedly the second largest steel producer in China. The news may also be a reason for the recent interest in Melewar shares.

    It is not widely known, however, that there is a Malaysian listed company that has a substantial interest in an iron ore mining firm in Australia.

    Currently, Melewar is Gindalbie’s single largest shareholder with a 17.2% stake although that would be diluted to about 14.5% after the mining company makes a placement of shares to AnSteel.

    Melewar’s stake in Gindalbie is worth about RM165mil. That, in turn, works out to be worth 72 sen a share in Melewar, which closed at RM1.19 yesterday.

    It also means Melewar shares were valued at just 47 sen each for the rest of its businesses which include wholly-owned subsidiaries Melewar Steel Tube Sdn Bhd and Melewar Steel Mills Sdn Bhd, and stakes in listed companies, namely 52.4% of Mycron Steel Bhd and 21.5% of M3nergy Bhd.

    Melewar stated in its annual report last year that its steel manufacturing division had net assets of over RM380mil. The reason investors overlooked the value in Melewar could be its uneven track record and their focus on larger steel companies.

    The group has started to get noticed. M3nergy shared surged to limit up on Tuesday afternoon. Following a query from Bursa Malaysia, M3nergy said yesterday there were no material developments.

    The interest in M3nergy could be investors’ discovery that the company is rich in oil and gas (O&G) assets. It owns a floating, production, storage and offloading (FPSO) facility; a floating, storage and offloading (FSO) facility; and net cash of more than RM54mil. M3nergy had net assets per share of RM3.30 against its share price of RM1.44 yesterday.

    It is unusual for the shares in an O&G company to trade below its net assets. Besides its assets, M3nergy has agreements for production sharing contracts to develop marginal oil fields in Indonesia and India.

    The FPSO and FSO facilities have been profitable from day one of M3nergy's investment. The company’s operating profit from O&G services amounted to RM30.8mil for the 15 months to March 31, 2007.

    Melewar COO Lim said the company's directors decided three years ago to invest in Gindalbie when they saw steel prices rising. Eventually, it is intended the Gindalbie shares would be sold. “We’re not mining experts,” he said.

    As to the timing of sale, he said: “It has not reached our target price.”

    Gindalbie was exploring for gold when it discovered a lot of iron ore deposits on a small section of its land. The company has not started to produce iron ore yet but the A$39mil (RM109mil) to be raised from the share placement to AnSteel would ensure that it has sufficient funds to develop the mine.

    The Australian miner would start to bring up the iron ore at the end of the year or early 2008. “We should see a better value in the Gindalbie shares at that time,” Lim said.

    Furthermore, Gindalbie could become a takeover target of the global mining giants.

Such bullish comments made on the stock surely had huge positive impact on the stock. And rallied it did.

  • 10-07-2007: Melewar hits 52-week high

    Melewar Industrial Group Bhd's share price closed 15 sen higher to a 52-week high of RM1.67 yesterday, rising in tandem with its Australian investment Gindalbie Metals Ltd, which rose 17.5 cents to A$1.37 (RM4.05).

    The share prices and trading volumes of Melewar Industrial and Gindalbie have risen sharply since a report last Friday that Melewar's stake in the Australian outfit was worth RM165 million. Melewar owns 17.2% of Gindalbie.

    Yesterday, there were 12.77 million Melewar shares traded on Bursa Malaysia. Gindalbie saw 15.29 million shares done on the Australian Stock Exchange. TA Securities Research maintained its "buy" on Melewar with a target price of RM2.70, adding that its Gindalbie investment, based on last Friday's closing of A$1.20, was worth RM266 million or RM1.17 per share.

    "The group is committed to 50% payout of its net profit as well as 50% dividend received from listed subsidiaries or associates. Based on our earnings estimates, we are looking for the group to declare a gross dividend per share of 12 sen in FY08, which translates into a dividend yield of 7.9%."

December 13th 2007, Melewar, Putera Capital bid for Penang monorail project

  • Melewar, Putera Capital bid for Penang monorail project

    The monorail project is believed to be worth more than the estimated RM1.6 billion for the previous proposed monorail job

    By Hamisah Hamid Published: 2007/12/13

    A CONSORTIUM comprising Melewar Industrial Group Bhd (MIG) and Putera Capital Bhd last month submitted a bid to design, build and operate the Penang monorail system.

    The bid was submitted on the closing date of the tender, November 14.

    The monorail project is believed to be worth more than the estimated RM1.6 billion for the previous proposed monorail job.

    MIG managing director and chief executive officer Tunku Ya'acob Tunku Abdullah said the RM1.6 billion was the estimated cost for the proposed loop system.

    "The loop involves one line only, so it is cheaper. Now the project involves longer route and double-track. Of course, it will be more than RM1.6 billion," he told a news conference after the signing of a strategic cooperation agreement between MIG's wholly-owned subsidiary Melewar Metro Sdn Bhd and Putera Capital in Kuala Lumpur yesterday.

    Also present were Melewar Integrated Engineering Sdn Bhd chief executive officer Uwe Ahrens, Putera Capital chief executive officer Wan Azman Wan Salleh and Putera Capital director Kamil A Rahman.

    The signing of the memorandum of understanding is a prelude to cooperation between both parties in the proposed Penang monorail project. Melewar Metro submitted its bid through Melewar Metro (Penang) Sdn Bhd (MMP).

    Both parties have also agreed to sign a share sale agreement later on the acquisition of a stake in MMP, where Putera Capital would acquire 20 per cent of MMP.

    The previous proposed Penang monorail project was based on private funding initiative. This time around, the government, through Syarikat Prasarana Negara Bhd, will provide the funding, and the private sector has been asked to submit tenders as contractors of the project.

    Steel maker MIG and civil and structural expert Putera Capital are confident that their consortium would win the bid for the Penang monorail job.

    However, they were tightlipped about the cost of their proposed bid.

Do note that Putera Capital does not have a good track record (here is Putera's latest Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 30/11/2007 ) and is a PN 17 stock. Hard to imagine that Melewar could pull a billion dollar project off with Putera Capital.

And then came trouble. Uncertainty looms over Melewar’s pledged shares in Aussie miner

  • KUALA LUMPUR: Melewar Industrial Group Bhd could be negatively affected by the collapse of Australian stockbroker Opes Prime.

    Melewar’s wholly owned subsidiary Melewar Steel Ventures (MSV) had pledged 35.1 million shares or 6.8% Gindalbie Metals Ltd (“Gindalbie”) to Opes Prime Stockbroking to secure a loan from the latter. Now that receivers have been appointed for Opes, the status of the Gindalbie Metals shares is uncertain.

    In October last year, MSV took out an A$24 million (RM69.77 million) loan from Opes, of which A$11.1 million are still outstanding.

    MSV is Gindalbie’s largest shareholder with a 14% stake in the iron ore miner and has a representative on the board. Melewar acquired the Gindalbie shares in 2004 for an average cost of a mere A$0.10 per share. Thanks to strong iron ore prices, Gindalbie’s shares have risen since then, even hitting a high of A$1.82 last September. At its last traded price of A$0.71 per share, Melewar’s block of pledged Gindalbie’s shares has a market value of A$25 million (RM72 million).

    According to Melewar’s statement to Bursa, Opes had appointed a voluntary administrator to look into the affairs of Opes. It was reported in Australia’s Herald Sun yesterday that Opes Prime Group, Opes Prime Stockbroking, Leveraged Capital and Hawkswood Investments were placed in the hands of receivers Chris Campbell and Sal Algeri of Deloitte Corporate Reorganisation Group last Thursday after trading “irregularities” were uncovered.

    Following the appointment of the voluntary administrator, Melewar said a secured creditor ANZ appointed receivers and managers in respect of the Opes Group while the Australian Securities and Investments Commission has also formed a special team to investigate whether there are any potential breaches of the Corporations Act by the Opes Group.

    Melewar said it is seeking legal advice on this matter.

    Gindalbie said in a release to the Australian Securities Exchange on Monday that it was seeking clarification of Melewar’s position and requested for a trading halt for 48 hours. It will be open for trading tomorrow. The stock was down 8.97% to A$0.71 when it last traded on Friday compared to the day before. Melewar’s stock is down 7% to 96.5 sen yesterday compared to RM1.04 on Friday.

    Reports in Australia have indicated that Opes is known for its willingness to accept collateral in the form of shares of non-blue chip companies.

    According to the Herald Sun, the receivers and managers of Opes say they are not in a position yet to advise the clients of Opes as to whether any money will be returned to them. “The position regarding Opes Prime Stockbroking Ltd client accounts remains unclear and will take some time to reconcile,” the receivers were quoted as saying in the Australian daily newspaper.

Of course, Melewar felt unjust.

  • Melewar gets court order to stop Opes stake sale

    Published: 2008/04/03

    MELEWAR Industrial Group Bhd has obtained a court order to stop a creditor of Opes Prime Stockbrocking Ltd from selling part of its shares in an Australian iron ore miner.

    The hearing has been fixed for April 10, it told Bursa Malaysia yesterday.

What this means was..

  • 03-04-2008: Melewar faces RM38m potential loss
    by Joyce Goh

    KUALA LUMPUR: Melewar Industrial Group Bhd said yesterday it could suffer a potential RM38 million loss, should it fail to recover a block of shares in Australian-listed Gindalbie Metals Ltd that it had pledged with Opes Prime Stockbroking Ltd.

    Opes is facing liquidation and a secured lender to Opes is planning on selling the holdings of Opes, which include 32 million Gindalbie shares that Melewar’s unit Melewar Steel Ventures (MSV) had pledged to Opes last year for an A$24 million (RM69.67 million) loan.

    The potential RM38 million loss was arrived at after taking into account the fact that MSV had already drawn down more than half of that loan.

    MSV had pledged a total of 35.1 million Gindalbie shares with Opes but its secured lenders are only claiming 32 million of those shares.

    “…should MSV incur the loss, MSV would have the right to claim for the loss from Opes,” Melewar added.

    To protect its interest in the Gindalbie shares, Melewar has also obtained a temporary court injunction to stop the secured lender to Opes from selling the pledged Gindalbie shares. The hearing for the case is fixed for April 10, 2008.

    Yesterday, four other borrowers of Opes had filed for injunctions seeking to stop secured creditors of Opes from selling shares they also had pledged to Opes.

    MSV is Gindalbie’s largest shareholder with a 14.6% stake in the iron ore miner. Melewar acquired the Gindalbie shares in 2004 for an average cost of a mere A$0.10 per share. Thanks to strong iron ore prices, Gindalbie’s shares have risen since then, even hitting a high of A$1.82 last September. The stock is now trading at A$0.72 after resuming trading following a two-day suspension in light of the Opes crisis.

    According to Gindalbie, Melewar has no intention of selling its remaining 7.6% stake in Gindalbie. Melewar has yet to respond to queries from The Edge.

    The total book value of the entire Gindalbie shares held by MSV recorded in the latest audited accounts of Melewar for the financial year ended June 30, 2007, is approximately RM123 million.

    For FY2007, Melewar’s capital gains from its Gindalbie shares was recorded in the former’s stellar profits. The Gindalbie capital gains contributed a whopping RM140.1 million in profit. Melewar stated in its 2007 annual report that the board was happy to report these gains but added that it “prudently highlights that these gains have not as yet been realised, through the sale of Gindalbie shares

On Saturday, April 19th 2008

  • Saturday April 19, 2008

    Court rejects Melewar’s appeal

    PETALING JAYA: Melewar Industrial Group Bhd’s attempt to stop the sale of its shares in Gindalbie Metals Ltd suffered another setback after its appeal was rejected by the Court of Appeal in Sydney yesterday.

    The company had filed an appeal against a ruling made by the Supreme Court in Sydney on Wednesday, which had dissolved its injunction against ANZ Banking Group Ltd. The injunction was to prevent ANZ from selling Melewar's shares in Gindalbie.

    The company had on March 31 announced that a wholly-owned subsidiary had pledged a 6.8% stake in Gindalbie against an outstanding loan of A$1.1mil from Opes Prime Stockbroking Ltd (OPS).

    However, ANZ, a secured creditor of Opes, appointed receivers and managers for the Opes group.

    Melewar said in a filing with Bursa Malaysia yesterday it would file a claim against ANZ for the return of the 32 million Gindalbie shares to the company.

    Melewar also said the failure to recover the 32 million Gindalbie shares pledged with OPS would result in the loss of about RM38mil.

And today, Melewar made a huge statement on the press, Melewar submits RM2.2b monorail plan

  • Melewar submits RM2.2b monorail plan

    By Marina Emmanuel Published: 2008/04/23

    The proposed system for George Town, Penang, will boast a 12-car train of monorail and can move 17,600 passengers per hour

    MELEWAR Industrial Group (MIG) Bhd has presented to the Penang state government a proposal for a RM2.2 billion monorail system for George Town.

    The proposed ultra-light loop monorail system covering a 52km track is set to operate on a single line and run on three different loops from locations like Gelugor, Farlim in Air Itam and Gurney Drive into the city.

    “The focus of the main link will be the centre of George Town and we strongly believe that the federal government and state government will work together in bringing a monorail system to Penang,” Melewar Industrial Group’s managing director and chief executive officer Tunku Datuk Yaacob Tunku Abdullah told reporters after presenting the proposal to Chief Minister Lim Guan Eng and members of the state executive council yesterday at Lim’s office.

    He said the proposed system, which is aimed at moving people from point-to-point into the city, will boast a 12-car train of monorail and can move 17,600 passengers per hour.

    Tunku Yaacob said the company can take 28 months to complete the system which would feature steel structures.

    “Land acquisition can also be kept to a minimum because the monorail will be running on road dividers,” he added.

    When asked to comment on concerns from Penangites that a monorail would mar the charm of George Town’s historic inner city which is vying for a listing on the World Heritage List, Tunku Yaacob said:

    “We will not bring the monorail to heritage buildings ... we will not run it in front of the buildings but behind them.”

    However, an artist’s impression of the proposed monorail system for Penang provided by Melewar showed the system running alongside historic structures in the city.

    On postings in blogs that Penang should bring back its tram system instead of introducing a monorail, he described the tram concept as an interesting one but pointed out that the trams had not been successful.

    Last November, Melewar Industrial Group Bhd unit Melewar Metro Sdn Bhd (MMSB), which is vying for the estimated RM1.2 billion monorail project in Penang, announced that it had formed a consortium with Putera Capital Bhd to cooperate to jointly secure the project.

    Melewar Group had said in a statement that the consortium was formalised with the signing of a memorandum of understanding between MMSB’s wholly-owned subsidiary Melewar Metro (Penang) Sdn Bhd (MMP) and Putera Capital. MMSB made the proposal for the monorail project to the government via its subsidiary.

    Melewar is one of several parties which participated in a tender exercise for the development of a monorail system for Penang on November 14 last year which was called by Syarikat Prasarana Negara Berhad (SPNB).

    In January this year, SPNB awarded a letter of intent for the project to Malaysian Resources Corporation Bhd (MRCB), which has formed a consortium with Penang Port Sdn Bhd and Scomi Engineering Bhd.

WOW!

So it's now NO longer a 1.6 bil bid but a 2.2 bid.

And one cannot stop wondering the timing of it all. Just on Saturday it announced it lost a court appeal which means it will result a loss of 38 million to the company.

By the way, here is Melewar last reported earnings, Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 31/12/2007.

Below is the snapshot of Melewar's balance sheet.


Time deposit: 3.509 million. Cash and bank balances: 26.733 million. Total: 30.242 million.

Short term borrowings: 322.373 million. Long term borrowings. 94.076 million. Total: 416.449 million.

Now this is where I am wondering. With such a balance sheet, if Melewar wins this BID, would it be able to finance this massive rm2.2 billion project?

Now what is even more interesting, this stock used to be known as Maruchi Steel Tubes. And this is one of the last quarterly earnings before the company was sold to Melewar Group. here

Look at he balance sheet.



What a nice balance sheet Maruichi had back then!

Monday, March 12, 2007

Melewar: Reply to Querry

Waiting anxiously to hear what Melewar got to say?

Here it is but oh don't ask..

  • We refer to the query letter by Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad dated 12 March 2007 on unusual market activity in the trading of the Company's shares. The Board of Directors of MIG would like to confirm that to the best of their knowledge and after due enquiry, they are not aware of any of the following that may have contributed to the unusual market activity :-

    a) Any material development in the Company's business and affairs not previously disclosed ;
    b) Any rumour or report concerning the business and affairs of the Group except for the recent newspaper reports regarding the Company's bid for the Penang Monorail Project that may account for the unusual market activity. There is nothing material in these reports which the Company had not previously disclosed.


According to Sources: Melewar

So juicy and seducing was the story told by Star Bizweek ( According to Sources ) and Business Times ( According to Sources: Penang Monorail ) that Melewar closed the morning trade up some 30%!

This has prompted the SC to do the WAZZAP thingy, UMA (Unsual Market activity) on Melewar.

  • UNUSUAL MARKET ACTIVITY

    We draw your attention to the sharp increase in price and high volume in your Company's securities today.

    In accordance with the Corporate Disclosure Policy on Response To Unusual Market Activity pursuant to paragraph 9.11 of the Listing Requirements of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad ("Bursa Securities LR"), you are requested to furnish Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad ("Bursa Securities") with an announcement for public release after making a due enquiry seeking the cause of the unusual market activity in the Company's securities.

    In this respect, you are also required to publicly confirm, amongst others, the following:-

    1. whether there is any corporate development relating to your Group's business and affairs that has not been previously announced that may account for the unusual market activity including those in the stage of negotiation / discussion. If yes, kindly provide the details including the status of the corporate development to enable investors to make informed investment decision;

    2. whether there is any rumour or report concerning the business and affairs of the Group that may account for the unusual market activity and in this respect, you are required to comply with paragraphs 9.09 and 9.10 of the Bursa Securities LR;

    3. whether you are aware of any other possible explanation to account for the unusual market activity; and

    4. your compliance with the Bursa Securities LR, in particular paragraph 9.03 on disclosure of material information.

    Please note that the contents of the announcement must be endorsed by the Board of Directors of the Company and the announcement must reach Bursa Securities by today via Bursa LINK.

Oohh.... what's up next? I wonder. I really wonder.

And Melewar Industrial Group, I actually blogged on this stock long ago. Well, it USED to be a highly good investment grade stock called Maruichi. Yeah, USED to be.

See past blog posting: Lawar kah Melewar? (blogged on Oct 2005)

Saturday, March 10, 2007

According to Sources

Posted on Star Bizweek:

  • Melewar eyes monorail project
    Melewar Industrial Group Bhd is believed to have emerged as the front-runner to bag the Penang Monorail project, and may secure the contract by end this month if all goes well, sources familiar with the matter tell BizWeek.

This is what mentioned in the article.

  • Saturday March 10, 2007

    Melewar eyes monorail project

    The RM1.2bil contact could be awarded by month-end

    BY JOSE BARROCK
    jose@thestar.com.my

    MELEWAR Industrial Group Bhd is believed to have emerged as the front-runner to bag the Penang Monorail project, and may secure the contract by end this month if all goes well, sources familiar with the matter tell BizWeek.

    It is understood that the Government could make an announcement pertaining to the award of the RM1.2bil contract, to Melewar as early as end of this month depending on several minor issues being ironed out.

    Melewar had bid for the building of the Penang Monorail, which is under the purview of the 9MP, sometime mid last year and had made a presentation to the Prime Minister Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, and the Economic Planning Unit in June the same year.

    The decision however was delayed due to rival bids made by several other parties keen to bag the large contract.

    However the bid by Melewar is believed to be in favour because of its lower costs, compared to that of the other bidders, which include Penang Port Sdn Bhd, a consortium made up of Scomi Engineering Bhd and KL Infrastructure Group Bhd, and MMC Metrail Sdn Bhd, which is a 20% unit of MMC Corp Bhd.

    According to the source Melewar’s 70% unit Melewar Integrated Engineering Sdn Bhd, which has expertise in engineering among others will spearhead the Penang Monorail initiative.

    Melewar Integrated Engineering’s managing director, Uwe Ahrens, owns the remaining 30% equity in the company.

    It is also a possibility that Melewar may rope in the requisite technical expertise via tie-ups with Russian and Swiss partners, who are familiar with building such railway lines in Europe, but the details of the companies and their backgrounds are still murky at press time.

    BizWeek understands that these tie-ups with the Russian and Swiss parties, was Melewar’s ace all along, and had brought down the company’s cost of building the light rail track to about RM30mil per kilometre, from RM60mil or thereabouts, which the other bidders made.

    With the lucrative contract in the bag, Melewar’s fortunes should get a shot in the arm, and its dismal earnings could improve.

    Melewar changed its financial year end from January to June, which means that for the 11 months ended December last year, the company posted a net profit of almost RM32mil on the back of about RM500mil in sales. The bulk of these profits were derived from its unit Mycron Steel Bhd in which it has about 54% equity.

    News of Melewar bagging the Penang Monorail first surfaced in late January this year, and caused a surge in its trading volume.

    Year to date, Melewar’s stock has gained some 16% and ended trading on Thursday at 96 sen.

How my dear old Brown Cow?



Wednesday, November 29, 2006

According to Sources

Let me ask what I have been asking all this while.

What purpose does our financial news serve when it publishes nothing but based on unconfirmed sources?

Think about it.

Or is our financial news merely a tool to push up shares in the share market?

How?

Have a look at this article: Taking Mycron private - Melewar considers taking company off Bursa Malaysia.

  • MELEWAR Industrial Group Bhd may be looking to take its subsidiary Mycron Steel Bhd private, sources familiar with the matter tell BizWeek.

    It is understood that Melewar is likely to make an offer of between 70 sen and RM1 for the shares in Mycron Steel it does not already own.

According to what sources?

The tea-lady? Or the driver? Or the toilet cleaner?

What sources?

It is understood. Say, who is understanding what??? Based on what facts?

  • “Many things might happen, they might even hive off Mycron Steel, as the price could be attractive, with the strong rates for cold rolled coil steel, which is Mycron Steel’s bread and butter,” an industry source says.

Huh?

Com on.

Financial news should be based on facts, right?

If our entire financial news reporter started writing based on 'Many things might happen', just imagine the consequences of such blatant reporting.

And of course, you would note the 'Industry source'.

And when so much sources is added, have a look at this announcement:

MYCRON STEEL BERHAD - ARTICLE ENTITLED : "Taking Mycron private"

  • We refer to the query letter dated 27 November 2006 issued by Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad in respect of the article appearing in The Star, Bizweek Section, Page BW3, Saturday, 27 November 2006.

    The Company wishes to inform that the Company is not aware of such intention to privatise the Company.

How?

For whom does the news article serve?

Or can our financial news reporter write as they fancy??

And sometimes, don't you think it is a waste of time that the plc mentioned has to divert their time from daily business schedule just to reply to the Bursa Malaysia.

Wouldn't it better if such reporters would refrain from writing such articles?

Perhaps, they might consider writing for a comic where all mystical sources live in their fantasy world? The best of sources, eh?

Now that would be an excellent idea, wouldn't it?

Or perhaps how about their news editorial posting a disclaimer such as this below:

  • Disclaimer

    The following news article is based on sources which really could be anyone. It might be the tea lady, the driver or even the toilet cleaner. The reporter is allowed as creatively as possible for this creates the much needed excitement in the stock. Now think about it. Who wants a dead market right? Hence, the editorial feels that it is ok that our financial news is based on sources and more sources.

    And because of this, the editorial would like to remind all readers to take our financial news as seriously as possible.

    Thank you

Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Melewar: Part II

Here is an update to this blog entry: Lawar kah Melewar?

As mentioned in that posting, one of the best investment advice i have read is the following:

A stock begins to show decaying fundamentals, such as lower profit margins or lower return on invested capital.

Another way of saying it is:

Remember that a stock represents a business, and, when its management or its products fail you, sell -- without delay and without sentimentality.

And think of this saying by the great Warren Buffett:

A stock doesn't know who owns it. You may have all of those feelings and emotions as the stock goes up or down, but the stock doesn't give a damn.

Melewar Industrial Group reported its earnings on 23rd December 2005.

Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 31/10/2005

Sales 128.095 million
net loss 4.443 million

Compare these earnings performances with Melewar's track record:
Melewar's track record

Isn't this company fundamentals on a clear decline?

And here is where the understanding and knowing the business itself was very important cos investing is never as simple as investing based on yardsticks. Commonsense and being rational is rather important too!

Now, Melewar used to be called Maruichi Malaysia Steel Tube. Maruichi's original owners had since sold its business to Melewar group in 2003.

And since the original owners had exited the business, we are essentially looking at two different stocks. Tiok boh?

And the track record posted in
Melewar's track record clearly showed it all. After the exit of the original shareholders in 2003, the performance of the company started to decline. The fundamentals of the company has changed too as previously, the old owners operated Maruichi strictly on a nett cash balance sheet. The new owners is running Melewar group in a nett debt of over 200 million. Two different stocks isn't it?

Either way, commosense tells us that this stock of old and this stock of current simply ain't the same.

How?

Yes, the stock used to be good but the stock ain't the same stock as before because of new management.

Based on current available facts, in which we have a company with decaying fundamentals, do you think that it is prudent to ass-u-me that since the stock used to be good, it will be good again in the future?

Look at the stock and its fundamentals.

Isn't it simply not the same anymore?

Is it wise to make such a bet?



Oh, Melewar closed the previous day trading at 1.12 and its warrants is at 0.17. ( When i wrote on Melewar, it was trading @ 1.26 and its warrants is trading @ 0.205))

Tuesday, October 18, 2005

Lawar kah Melewar?

One of the best selling advice that I have read is:


A stock begins to show decaying fundamentals, such as lower profit margins or lower return on invested capital

Hmm… decaying fundamentals? Err… Ah Poh says ‘Fat-Kan-Moh’ isn’t it? :D

Doesn't this mean that the company ain't the same anymore? Say if i invest in a company (errr.. Ah Poh says we ONLY want to invest in a GOOD company… hor!) and the company fundamentals starts to decay, isn’t this telling me that the company ain’t NO longer good?

So should i kasi chance sama dia?

Or should I just lari kuat-kuat?

Do the H&H on it? HOLD and HOPE that company will become good again in the future?

However, the logical thing that should be considered is the issue ‘when’. When will the good again happen? One year? Two year? Three Year? Four year? Am I willing to hold that long? And while I am holding, what will happen to the stock price? If the stock fundamental continues to deteriorate and decay, what would happen to the stock price? Would the stock price decay too? Isn’t that not a possibility? Would I look kleber holding and hoping a stock and watch the stock price decay along with the stock fundamental?

So isn't the best time to sell a stick is when the stock begins to show decaying fundamentals, such as lower profit margins etc etc?

How?

Here is another famous teaching:

Remember that a stock represents a business, and, when its management or its products fail you, sell -- without delay and without sentimentality.
Sooooooo........ I was looking at Melewar Industrial Group which announced their latest quarterly earnings recently.

Now Melewar used to be that stock called Maruichi and yes Maruichi used to be a decent stock considering its track record…



Sales Net Profit Margin
2001 378.328 59.502 15.73%
2002 352.320 53.935 15.31%
2003 390.849 56.201 14.38%
2004 462.255 64.441 13.94%
So there was some justifications for an investor to buy and hold this stock since 2001. The company was indeed making some decent moola.

Now take a look at the following quarterly earnings table from Melewar, which took over Maruichi’s operations since the beginning of FY 2005. Have a look here:
Melewar's track record

From fy 2001 to fy 2004, this stock represented a company which was had net profit margin around 13-15%. Which was pretty decent.

However, since the start of fy 2005, the classical lower net profit margin started to emerge.

For 2005 Q1, a lower net profit margin of only 9.69% was seen. Two quarters later, 2005 Q3, Melewar net profit dropped to an alarming 6.48%.

So from a company having net profit margin of around 13-15%, this company is now operating on a much lower net profit margin of only 6.48%.

Now applying the best selling advice, ie selling a stock which BEGINS to show signs of decaying fundamentals, such as lower net profit margin, shouldn’t one acknowledge this issue and sold Melewar after it reported its 2005 Q3 earnings?

A fundamental sell signal had been generated on 16th December 2004.

Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 31/10/2004

Now look at the subsequent quarterly earnings from Melewar. Look at the very latest quarterly earnings, Melewar announced a truly shocking quarterly earnings of only 1.252 million or a net profit margin of only 0.84%.

They say a picture paints a thousand words….

Have a look
here !!

Ah…yes... when a stock displays some weakness in their fundamentals it does provides one with opportunity... but in the case of investment, this (opportunity) is provided if the weakness or subdued financial performance is only a temporary situation. Cos if the subdued performance would drag on or continue for a long(er) time, surely this would render the stock investment as unattractive.

Tiok boh?

So what i am saying is this... when we see a weakness in a stock's financial performance (which leads to lower price) sometimes this is an opportunity to invest in PROVIDED if the weak financial performance is temporary, ie a blip. For if the weakness continues, some might even view it or define it as deterioration in the company's financial fundamentals.

Remember the previous mumbling of ACPi? (see
I wanna Hold your hand.. )

ACPi used to be a share trading at around 3.14++…

Now? ACPi trades around 0.66 sen.

This is the same unreal risk if the decay in Melewar’s fundamentals continues. If Melewar's quarterly earnings decay somemore, the stock price has a rather good chance of decaying also!

Soooo…. if some half-baked bugger asked u to bet on Melewar….what would you do?

Does it make much sense in betting Melewar rite now? Betting on a company whose earnings is on a clear downtrend? Betting on a stock when we are unsure when its earnings will turnaround? Does it sound like a smart bet?

You tell me… I could be wrong here…

(Melewar is now trading @ 1.26. Its warrants is trading @ 0.205)

:D