Showing posts with label Hiap Teck. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hiap Teck. Show all posts

Monday, January 11, 2010

The Big Hoo-Ha Over Hiap Teck's Eastern Steel Deal

On Business Times: Hiap Teck outlines merits of Eastern Steel deal

  • Hiap Teck outlines merits of Eastern Steel deal

    By Ooi Tee Ching Published: 2010/01/11

    PIPEMAKER Hiap Teck Venture Bhd's (HTVB) (5072) move to buy 55 per cent of Eastern Steel Sdn Bhd to produce steel slabs by 2012 is a worthwhile business move to leverage on the benefits of Asean Free Trade Area (Afta), said group managing director Kua Hock Lai.

    "Currently, there is a mismatch between the steel slab demand for downstream hot-rolling activities versus the steel-making capacities in Asean. Downstream players here, in Thailand, the Philippines and Indonesia are all importing slabs from the European Union, Turkey and Brazil," he told Business Times in an interview in Klang.

    Two weeks ago, HTVB told Bursa Malaysia that it wanted to spend RM110 million to buy 55 per cent of Eastern Steel Sdn Bhd from Datuk Law Tien Seng, Lau Chin An and Lee Ching Kion.

    Eastern Steel owns 240ha of land in Teluk Kalung, Kemaman in Terengganu and has approval from the Malaysian Industrial Development Authority and the Ministry of International Trade and Industry to build the plant.

    HTVB plans to seek the help of China's Jinan Iron & Steel Group Corp to build the steel slab plant in Kemaman. The first phase of 530 m3 blast furnace and a slab caster will have an annual production capacity of up to 700,000 tonnes.

    Kua said the plan is still at a preliminary stage as it hinges on the Department of Environment's (DOE) approval of an Environmental Impact Assessment. "It is still too early to talk about financing of the blast furnace and impact on HTVB's gearing level. We have to wait for DOE's approval," he said.

    Kua said HTVB is expected to complete the Eastern Steel purchase by the third quarter of 2010. The blast furnace construction will then take another two years.

    In the past news reports, analysts commented that HTVB's plan to move upstream falls short of real integration benefits.

    Kua said a hot-roll coil factory is actually phase two of the company's plan. "Right now, demand for slabs exceeds supply in Asean. We can and should leverage on the benefits of Afta platform," he said.

    "As long as the plan to do slab casting first has the potential to make money, that is what shareholders are more concerned about. We estimate the return on investment to take 10 years, which is normal in this course of business," he added.

    Kua said while the company has no dividend policy, it has been paying dividends since HTVB was listed.

Quote:

  • "As long as the plan to do slab casting first has the potential to make money, that is what shareholders are more concerned about. We estimate the return on investment to take 10 years, which is normal in this course of business,"

Mr. Kua, and all listed companies owners, should realise that once the company is listed, the company's money belongs to the shareholders too. Yes, it's the shareholders money too!

And needless to say, the shareholders would welcome any opportunities that have the potential to make money. Which shareholder do not want to see their investment generate more money?

However, having said all that, there are so many restrictions. Risk management is so important and the listed companies cannot simply adapt the 'no risk no gain' business ventures in their attempt to make more money.

Yes, in my flawed opinion, the listed company cannot simply use the 'potential to make more money' as the justification to embark on risky business ventures.

Do I see it happening in Hiap Teck's Eastern Steel venture? Yes, I do consider Eastern Steel venture to be rather risky for Hiap Teck!

Many others see it too.

Here's a newsclip on 31st December 2009: Furnace deal may raise Hiap Teck's gearing

  • PETALING JAYA: Hiap Teck Venture Bhd’s acquisition of Eastern Steel Sdn Bhd and the capital expenditure (capex) needed for the latter’s blast furnace may bring the company’s total outlay for the acquisition to RM910mil and cause its debts to spiral to RM1.3bil.

    The company would need to spend RM110mil to acquire a 55% stake in Eastern Steel, a dormant company, plus an additional RM800mil in capex for Eastern Steel’s blast furnace.

    “This would inflate its net gearing to 188.5%. Even factoring in only an effective 55% share of the additional capex, Hiap Teck’s net gearing would still balloon to 120.3%,” OSK Research said in a report.

    Hiap Teck’s current gross debts amounted to RM393.3mil, with cash and equivalents amounting to RM171.2mil, and shareholders’ funds totaling RM600.5mil, for a net gearing level of 37%.

The cash equivalent as stated by OSK is at rm171 million.

However, as stated in an earlier posting last month, A Look At Hiap Teck Earnings, this rm170+ million is not too 'comforting' because the screen shot from Hiap Teck's earnings notes show that some rm 174 million is parked under 'short term investment' (click here for that screen shot). And to make matters worst, one does not know exactly what are these investments as Hiap Teck was not too transparent in disclosing the details.

With cash and bank balances at only 19.9 million, it was rather incredible to learn that Hiap teck wants to spend some rm 110 million to buy a 55% stake in Eastern Steel.

Where is Hiap Teck going to get the money to finance this 'investment'?

Borrowing so much more money to 'invest' doesn't sound too prudent, does it?

And making it more incredible, Mr.Kua reckons the return of investment in this Eastern Steel deal would take some 10 years!!!

Now if one is a minority shareholder, surely one have to address if HTVB is being prudent here.

And 10 years is a pretty long term investment!!!

Would the minority shareholder trust this company so much and hold on to their investment in Hiap teck for 10 years?

Yes, on one hand, in general, investments do take time before one get reap the benefits but 10 years is an issue that the current minority shareholder needs to address because if they don't foresee holding to this stock investment for so long, then for whom is this Eastern Steel 'investment' going to benefit?

Thursday, December 17, 2009

A Look At Hiap Teck Earnings

Hiap Teck announced its earnings last night.



Let's try some questions and answers. (try something fresh! :p)

Was the earnings report impressive?

Yes and no. LOL! (I know.. some will be cursing and shouting out loud what kind of answer is that!)

By itself, when you do a direct comparison with the previous year, yes, its EXTREMELY impressive. However, if you compare against the previous quarter or the previous years, there are certain issues that one needs to address.

Obviously, the margins are better, no doubt (I, for one, is one that likes to see strong healthy margins!) but the sales revenue indicates that where Hiap Teck is right now, pales in comparison to previous year! (Ah, I am sure that some would be quick to highlight that this is as expected as the global economy has not fully recovered!)

Let me go back a year ago. Take this feature article on Star Business: Hiap Teck plans to venture abroad

That table from Star Business says a lot. For Fy 2008, Hiap Teck made some 155 million. Sales revenue was an impressive 1.66 Billion. Compare those figures to what Hiap Teck announced last night. See the huge difference?

But.. but... butttt..... that's simply not a fair comparison!

True. For during fy 2008, those earnings were artificially boosted by an insane bull run on the steel prices! And surely, it's not fair to expect Hiap Teck to generate the same volume and the same earnings as back then.

That's a fair argument, yes?

How about Hiap Teck stock price back in 2008 compared to now?

Why that question? Well, don't we want to understand where the stock is now compared to previously? Don't we want to understand if the recent stock rally is justifiable or not, based on the earnings.



Now, I have drawn a vertical line on the chart. That line indicates where Hiap Teck was a year ago.

Of course, some would be quick to point out that this comparison is also not fair, because that time frame was simply tough on global stock markets. Stock prices were most likely distorted by panic and fear.

Justifiable argument? Yeah, I think to too.

But for all its worth, at least, one has a fair idea on how Hiap Teck has performed as a stock.

How about the balance sheet? See anything?

Well... have a look.



How?

See the item that stood out sorely?

Cash balances shrunk while short term investment soared!!!!

.... !!!! .............. exactly!

So what are these short term investments?

Good question! The common answer "You ask me, I ask who?" is all that I could think off!

Have a look at their earnings notes snap shot...



Am I not seeing what I am to see? And this is their cash flow satetement.



See their other investments entry??

Arggggghhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!!!

Honestly, what does Hiap Teck expects as a listed stock?

Do they want their investors and minority shareholders to be left playing the 'teka teki' game?

How?

If you think investment into a listed stock as being a business partner of the company, do you like what you see?

What did the company say about their performance?

From their earning notes.
  • Review of performance

    During the current quarter under review, the Group achieved a turnover of RM279.635 million, a decrease of 11.42% as compared to RM315.693 million for the corresponding period of the previous year.

    The Group’s pre-tax profit in the current quarter under review was RM23.561 million as compared to previous year corresponding quarter of RM15.622 million. However, the Group has made provision for diminution in value of inventory and provision for unrealized foreign exchange loss of RM19.256 million and RM6.6 million respectively in the previous year corresponding quarter.

    The performance of the Group for the current quarter under review was affected by weaker market demand and lower selling prices in the current quarter. International and domestic steel prices were in the uptrend for the first three quarters of year 2008, thereafter market demand and steel prices have declined and this has affected the current quarter’s revenue and profit before tax.

Did Hiap Teck perform as per analyst 'expectation?

Ahh... since RHB had a results preview on Hiap Teck, let me post the screen shot of the write-up.


RHB has expected Hiap Teck to make around 72 million this fiscal year. Hiap Teck announced it make some 17 million. On an annualised basis, that should be quite close to what RHB had expected.

And here's RHB write-up today.

Ahh.. in RHB's report today, it states that on q-q, earnings did improved because the previous quarter Hiap Teck's earnings was distorted by "extraordinary gain of RM25.3m in 4QFY07/09".

Well... that's about it... for now.

How?

Monday, December 18, 2006

A tale of 2 Hiap Teck

Hiap Teck Ventures (rm1.32) just released its earnings last Friday.

Saw two different research reports on it.

RHB Research has an underperform rating on it. Target price of rm1.10.

  • X Hiap Teck’s has a dominant market position in the local bare steel pipe/structural hollow section industry, underpinned by its commanding market share. However, earnings risks are on the rise with the current upcycle in steel and steel product prices turning out to be short and fast slipping away. Valuation is rich with share price trading above our indicative fair value of RM1.10 based on 8x CY2007 EPS of 13.8sen. Maintain Underperform.

OSK has a target price of rm1.93.

Interesting, yes? The below is the screen shot taken of OSK write-up.



For me, the interesting point lies in the fy2007 numbers.

AS can seen from the above screen shot, OSK is estimating Hiap Teck net earnings (net profit) to be a very optimistic 69.3 million. Which as stated in their own table, this represent a growth (or change) of 76.6%!

RHB estimates?

Have a look at the screen-shot of RHB write-up below.


RHB's net earnings (net profit) estimates for Hiap Teck's fiscal 2007 earnings as seen from the above screen-shot if only 48.5 million.

Oh yes, an estimate is an estimate is an estimate.

But... in the case of Hiap Teck, don't you wonder why the estimates is varying by so much? RHB Research is estimating 48.5million while OSK is estimating 69.3 million.

I guess this explains why one's Target Price for Hiap teck is rm1.10 while the other is rm1.93.